bottom fishing

Small-Cap Bottom Fishing: Time to Go Against the Grain?

Pinpoint Estimates
Pinpoint Estimates

So far, 2026 has been a challenging year for small-cap investors. While large-cap stocks have held steady, many smaller companies have been sold off across the board. However, behind the red numbers, there are often opportunities for the active investor to exploit.


It is no secret that small-cap indices have struggled recently. When uncertainty rises, we often see a clear pattern: investors exit small-cap funds, forcing managers to sell their holdings regardless of how well the underlying companies are actually performing. In stocks with limited liquidity, this mechanical selling pressure often creates interesting opportunities.


The Advantage of the Individual Investor

As an individual investor, you have a major advantage that large institutions lack: you don't have to worry about fund outflows. While fund managers may be forced to sell to meet redemptions, you can stay calm—or even pick up shares in quality companies at a discount. Historically, many of the best deals are made when market sentiment is at its lowest.


The question is: which of these stocks are genuine bargains, and which are facing a truly tougher reality? This is exactly what we are exploring in this quarter’s estimate league: Small-Cap Bottom Fishing.


Put Your Analysis to the Test

In this league, we have selected ten companies that all share one thing in common: their share prices have dropped by at least 20% so far this year. Despite the decline, many of them remain well-managed, profitable businesses that are about to report their Q1 results.

The challenge is to look beyond the stock price and assess the actual business:

  • Are we seeing signs of slowing growth, or is the order intake still strong?
  • Is there evidence of margin pressure, or is profitability moving in the right direction?

By setting your estimates for revenue and earnings, you take a clear stand. Is the downturn justified, or is there an opportunity to be seized?


Follow the Competition

You can follow the live standings on the competition page. The winner will receive an exclusive Pinpoint merch kit and the title of the league's sharpest small-cap analyst.

Companies in the league:

  • Exsitec Holding
  • Nilörngruppen
  • Dynavox Group
  • AVTECH Sweden
  • ITAB Shop Concept
  • Acast
  • Karnov Group
  • Pierce Group
  • Generic Sweden
  • Paxman


Exsitec will be the first to report on April 22nd. Good luck with your analysis!


To the Competition Page

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