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Q2 2025 Retail Sector Report

Pinpoint Estimates
Oscar Høve Matheson

Consumer and retail companies are usually popular among investors on Pinpoint – and the Q2 2025 reporting season was no exception. Here we review how the companies performed relative to expectations.

Revenue Growth

revenue growth

The average revenue growth came in at +5.8%, slightly above expectations of +5.6%.

  • 17% of the companies exceeded expectations
  • 11% fell short
  • 72% reported in line with expectations (within ±5% of consensus).

Earnings Growth

earnings growth

Earnings growth averaged +11.7%, marginally below expectations of +11.9%.

  • 44% of the companies exceeded expectations
  • 33% fell short
  • 22% reported in line with expectations (within ±5% of consensus).

Share Price Reaction

share price

The average share price reaction was +2.9%. Companies that significantly outperformed expectations were handsomely rewarded.

Valuation Outlook

valuation

Average: EV/EBIT 13.7x (based on 2026 or 2026/27 reporting years).

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